Phase 6 · Biometric & Longevity
Health Insurance Plan Optimizer
The cheapest premium is rarely the cheapest plan. Pit a high-deductible plan against a low-deductible one across your real expected medical use — and see exactly where each one wins.
Simplified estimate. Real plans add copays, drug tiers, network rules and family vs individual limits this model doesn't capture (coinsurance is assumed at 20%). Use it to frame the decision, then confirm details with the plan documents or a licensed broker.
Should I pick a high-deductible plan or a low-deductible plan?
Compare total annual cost, not the premium: total = premium × 12 + your share of care. Below the deductible you pay every dollar of care; above it you pay the deductible plus coinsurance, capped at the out-of-pocket max. A high-deductible plan wins at low usage, a low-deductible plan wins at high usage, and the crossover is the number that matters.
- Your share of care = charges if they are under the deductible, otherwise deductible + 20% × (charges − deductible), capped at the out-of-pocket max.
- Worked example (defaults on this page): at $6,000 of care, the HDHP ($280/mo, $5,000 deductible) totals $8,560 while the low-deductible plan ($480/mo, $1,500 deductible) totals $8,160 — the richer plan wins by $400.
- Those same defaults cross over at about $4,750 of annual care: below that the HDHP is cheaper, above it the low-deductible plan is.
- Check the worst case separately — it is premium × 12 + out-of-pocket max. On these defaults the HDHP caps at $10,360 versus $10,760, so the cheaper-on-average plan is the riskier one in a bad year.
Under the hood
The math, fully exposed
For each plan we add the yearly premium to what you'd actually pay toward care (coinsurance assumed 20%):
- Premiums are the floor: you pay them whether or not you use care, so a high premium needs heavy utilization to pay off through the lower deductible.
- The OOP max is your insurance against catastrophe: compare premium + OOP max across plans to see which caps your downside lower if a serious year hits.
- The HSA tilts it: not modeled here, but an HDHP's HSA can cut the effective cost of every medical dollar by your tax rate — often enough to flip a close call.
Your directives
What to do next, based on your numbers
Adjust the sliders to generate tailored recommendations.
Answers